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How the Swedish Social Democrats Strategically placed it self to win the next election

Tuesday, 01 May 2012
Selecting a very good leader in an organisation that is sinking can be tied to luck even if the leader being selected could be determined to be a good technocrat. Such an example was seen with the Social Democrat party in Sweden where the change of leadership has totally changed the fortunes of the party for the better. But it was not so before.

No party has risen so sharply in the polls as the Social Democrats have made in recent months.
“The fact that a single party has shifted ten, twelve percentage points in either direction has not been seen before,” says Henrik Oscarsson, Professor of Political Science at Gothenburg University, to radio Sweden that today presents a weighted average of the five major polls.

On January this year the Social Democrats was placed at 25.3 percent. Today, the party stands at 35.6 percent. When Stefan Löfven took over from Håkan Juholt as party leader, the curve turned upward.

Figures for the Left Party and Green Party has certainly fallen slightly, but if there were an election today the Red-Green coalition parties would get more than half of the votes.

Moderate is 30.1 percent is showing a drop of 3.4 percentage points compared with April last year.
So, as much as the change of leadership of the party led to its changed fortunes, luck could also have played a role because when the first change took place, from Mona Sahlin to Håkan Juholt the party went down. Now the party looks at winning the next election.
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